analysis. First is an analysis of input, the environment or independent variables, which includes ecological input, extrasocietal forces, intra- societal forces, and history. Next is a discussion of the structure of the Cold Bay system, or the dependent variables, which includes the value system and organization, the latter subdivided into economic structure, social networks, political structure, religious structure, education, health care, social services, and recreation. Together these f i r s t two sections constitute an ethnography of the community of' Cold Bay. The t h r d section consists of scenarios for the future development of Cold Bay. These repkesent the interaction of certain projected envi- ronmental forces (provided by the HMS) and the current structure of Cold Bay. This interaction results in changes in local structures which are presented as three sceanrios. The primary scenario assumes no OCS- related development; the second considers OCS development in the region of Cold Bay, and the third considers the effects of a major oil-related facility in the community of Cold Bay itself. In this summary we will f i r s t discuss the ethnographic study of the community, then the scenar- ios considered for future development.